Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1284.062103 1453.954652 1640.940502 1862.510457 2118.538480 2405.843338 2753.713658
2025-11-23 1025.584944 1253.673363 1527.413751 1882.320099 2333.425788 2891.826749 3641.816393
2025-11-30 888.953504 1144.107125 1468.869090 1916.951105 2526.009130 3334.909166 4507.136338
2025-12-07 763.298754 1022.063411 1366.742405 1866.069612 2581.932751 3588.150005 5139.963930
2025-12-14 667.196133 923.395997 1277.928968 1813.217375 2616.511332 3802.545117 5734.596086
2025-12-21 587.805352 836.925016 1193.189493 1750.804516 2621.871944 3965.354659 6264.213962
2025-12-28 555.221546 813.078573 1194.117403 1812.459131 2818.477448 4440.961862 7362.217213
2026-01-04 519.023856 779.276378 1175.245444 1839.021622 2959.485090 4841.866095 8394.470605
2026-01-11 484.395989 743.953457 1149.511643 1849.934498 3073.251967 5208.266112 9420.675648
2026-01-18 453.473805 711.226794 1124.042926 1857.160146 3179.362666 5572.016501 10498.280088
2026-01-25 433.815104 694.669175 1122.833104 1904.698680 3361.147383 6095.334990 11976.115240
2026-02-01 414.028512 675.920367 1115.752788 1940.239574 3523.776337 6602.498021 13508.775457
2026-02-08 393.163420 654.115701 1102.346542 1964.606282 3671.843583 7109.645893 15156.834616
2026-02-15 373.594648 632.950258 1088.200185 1986.196866 3817.719659 7635.197819 16956.654023
2026-02-22 358.040937 617.453413 1082.574624 2022.987972 3998.271849 8259.708960 19118.186839
2026-03-01 331.764127 580.343854 1033.726614 1968.916506 3980.823390 8445.569996 20230.103842
2026-03-08 307.754093 545.566936 986.324336 1912.762942 3951.554756 8599.340255 21289.265764
2026-03-15 284.709983 510.925779 936.418530 1846.468421 3891.777549 8672.950617 22149.072880
2026-03-22 278.729553 508.281999 948.506072 1911.957429 4138.649014 9521.449320 25358.223620
2026-03-29 268.998560 497.593888 943.639566 1940.177393 4302.165905 10188.837915 28203.150156
2026-04-05 258.235062 484.058487 931.852105 1951.772168 4427.159655 10776.964450 30951.928841
2026-04-12 247.849431 470.522444 918.945605 1959.449618 4543.419526 11360.640228 33834.625054
2026-04-19 242.095067 465.959361 924.412069 2009.966542 4774.521159 12297.897524 38139.791411